The Longevity Science Panel, in collaboration with L&G, today publish a report analysing the current and future impacts of climate change on the UK’s health. The research reveals that climate change will be experienced unevenly across different sections of the UK population, and may deepen health inequalities in physical and mental health in the UK.
7 Nov 2022
The report titled, The Effects of Climate Change on Health in the UK, shows that the most economically deprived and those who are already frail through age or having long-term health conditions will be the most vulnerable to high temperatures and shocks induced by adverse weather events.
Many of the health inequalities driven by climate change are yet to be fully understood. Current literature focuses on mortality statistics, but the report from the Longevity Science Panel identifies the broader health inequality impacts from climate change, including mental health.
The research also differentiates the direct impacts of climate change, often arising from physical hazards such as higher temperatures and increased flooding, as well as the indirect consequences that will potentially arise due to the global negative economic consequences of climate change and in particular a disorderly transition to Net Zero.
Compared to many other countries, the Longevity Science Panel research found that the direct impacts of climate change such as heat waves, flooding and the increased spread of vector borne diseases, are likely to be relatively modest. This can be attributed to two factors: firstly, the UK’s geographic location in the Northern hemisphere and temperate climate, and secondly, the country’s economic resources to adapt houses, workplaces and infrastructure to reduce the adverse impacts of climate change.
However, the research found that greater emphasis needs to be given in climate policy development to ensure that the large existing inequalities in health are not further exacerbated by indirect implications from climate change – such as mental health challenges arising from displacement after a flood. Indirect implications that risk being overlooked include:
The Longevity Science Panel report also reveals that disruptions to the UK economy, in part caused by climate-induced global economic stresses, are a key but under-appreciated indirect pathway through which climate change may adversely impact on population health in the UK.
Professor David Leon, Professor of Epidemiology at London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine:
“There is overwhelming evidence that man-made changes in the climate are having an impact on the natural environment and on human populations. The question is what are going to be the effects on health? In the UK, although warmer winters may reduce levels of cold-related deaths, heat waves will bring other problems.
However, this new report suggests that in this country more major impacts on health and welfare may come from the negative and more indirect impact that climate change will have on the global economy, agriculture and supply chains. As we saw in the 2008 crash and also today through events set off by the Russian invasion of Ukraine, our economy and the welfare of the UK population cannot be insulated from global crises. The possibility of unplanned and disorderly human responses to climate change are real. These in turn could have damaging consequences on the UK economy and through this to health of the population, and of the least advantaged in particular. This report provides a broad and accessible perspective on this complex set of issues, and will hopefully help those having to plan for our uncertain future better informed about the science as well as the regulatory framework around UK climate policy today.”
Efforts to mitigate climate change by reducing fossil fuel use are taken on the basis that costly action today reduces substantive longer-term risk. Economic modelling strongly supports the cost-effectiveness of early mitigation, even when comparing scenarios that achieve Net Zero by 2050. However, mitigation polices are dependent on international co-operation. They are subject to the ‘commons dilemma’, where short term and local economic or adaptation interests are at odds with the long-term and global mitigation interests.
Looking ahead, future progress on climate change will also depend on more systemic changes and technologies that have yet to be developed, as well as continued public support for measures that threaten jobs, economic growth, and established ways of living.
Dame Karen Dunnell, Chair of the Longevity Science Panel:
“The potential adverse effects of climate change would be experienced unevenly across different sections of the UK population, deepening the existing health inequalities. The risks are greatest for those already most vulnerable to poor health, particularly those that rely on others for care such as children, the elderly, and those with disabilities and pre-existing conditions. The need for the costliest mitigations and adaptations related to climate change are concentrated in the most deprived areas whose residents are the least able to afford them. These need to be considered in public policies.”
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*at 31 Dec 2022